RBC's Helima Croft on why oil saw its worst year since 2020 - part 2/2
2025-12-31_22-41 • 5m 48s
Helima Croft (Global Head of Commodity Strategy)
00:00.640
Well,
they
would
say
current
prices
are
sub-optimal.
But
the
question
is
like
if
you
really
get,
if
we're
holding
in
like
the
low
50s
for
WTI,
like
that
is
not
a
price
that
works
for
producers.
The
question
is
is
how
many
have
hedged,
like
can
they
do
this
for
a
year?
I
mean,
Helima Croft (Global Head of Commodity Strategy)
00:18.440
they
talk
about
it
being
a
tough
price
environment
currently,
but
also
some
of
the
tariffs
on
aluminum
and
steel
have
not
been
great.
There
are
labor
issues
in
the
sector.
They've
managed
to
keep
production
elevated
this
year,
but
can
it
continue
at
current
levels
if
we
don't
Helima Croft (Global Head of Commodity Strategy)
00:34.480
have
a
more
robust
price
environment?
And
I
do
think
you're
already
starting
to
see
when
you
talk
about
OPEC,
the
other
side
of
the
production
equation,
the
fact
that
OPEC
has
paused
production
increases,
I
think
is
important.
Like
they're
not
signaling
for
2026
that
they're
Helima Croft (Global Head of Commodity Strategy)
00:49.760
going
to
be
putting
a
lot
more
supply
in
the
market
because
frankly,
they
don't
have
a
lot
of
supplies
left.
I
mean,
there
is
not
a
lot
of
of
oil
in
the
OPEC
tag.
So,
they
just
can't
repeat
what
they
did
in
2025.
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