Frank Holland (Anchor) 00:00.000
What do you make of the fact we're on a 3-day losing streak? The Santa Claus rally doesn't seem to be materializing. What does that mean in your mind for the year ahead?
Patrick Fruzzetti (Managing Director & Partner) 00:08.040
Well, it's been a good year for risk assets. I think equity valuations are, you know, look relatively expensive. You know, credit spreads are tight and there's there's some uncertainty over the labor market and inflation going into 2026. And there's probably some, you know, some
Patrick Fruzzetti (Managing Director & Partner) 00:23.320
form of rebalancing heading into the end of the year to prepare for 2026. I don't make much of it. It's not like it's been a a major sell off. heading into the end of the year. All
Frank Holland (Anchor) 00:31.320
right. So, it seems like you're bullish on 2026. So, where the day is prosperity?
Patrick Fruzzetti (Managing Director & Partner) 00:36.160
Um, yeah, prosperity. I mean, you know, the the Greek writer Sophly said, "Without labor, nothing prospers." And so, I I'm looking forward to working hard on behalf of my clients in in 2026, and I expect you to be working hard, too, Frank.
Frank Holland (Anchor) 00:49.440
I I hope to be working hard. Absolutely, Patrick. Um, I want to get to you just your your broader sense of what's going on in the markets in these last couple days. I know you say you're not putting too much weight on it, but the wild swings when it comes to metal The fact that
Frank Holland (Anchor) 01:00.800
we got these Fed minutes that show a lot of the members would like to just kind of hold rate steady for quite some time and the fact that there's no price no cuts really being priced in until probably like April. What is that kind of set us up for in Q1 of this year?
Patrick Fruzzetti (Managing Director & Partner) 01:14.560
Yeah, I expect there could be some choppiness in Q1. Um after all, it's a mid-term election year. Mid-term election years tend to see you know peak to trough, tend to see double digit moves um and you know I don't expect any different this year. Um and so with a Fed cut got
Patrick Fruzzetti (Managing Director & Partner) 01:30.240
expected, possibly in April. I think there's going to be some choppiness. And I I you have to continue to look at the dollar, right? So that's, you know, perhaps there's been some rebalancing when it comes to metals, but again, I think inflation is just not priced into the
Patrick Fruzzetti (Managing Director & Partner) 01:43.280
market right now. And so that that overall, I think, could create um the most volatility for the market in the first half of the year. All right, we had
Frank Holland (Anchor) 01:50.480
a guest on earlier, Doug Bonaparte. He said investors need to lean into that volatility for opportunity. Do you agree with that idea that you want to lean into volatility as opposed to some other strategies like an income strategy? We're talking about Dogs the Dawg. Not
Frank Holland (Anchor) 02:01.960
necessarily necessarily saying that one, but being more focused on dividend paying stocks and value.
Patrick Fruzzetti (Managing Director & Partner) 02:07.240
Yeah, I mean I I I I like value. It depends on the sector. So there's there's always there's always going to be companies to buy. And so I I would tend to say, yes, you want to lean into those corrections to acquire companies and assets that you think are undervalued. And I
Patrick Fruzzetti (Managing Director & Partner) 02:21.960
expect to do the same when that when that comes. All
Frank Holland (Anchor) 02:24.160
right. I want to get to your pick. It's Agile Technologies. Not undervalued, trading about 22 times. So trading pretty close to in line with the market. What opportunities are you seeing when it comes to that name?
Patrick Fruzzetti (Managing Director & Partner) 02:34.360
Well, overall, I think, you know, the healthcare sector is under value, but when it comes to Agilent, I mean, it's it's an oligopoly really. I mean, they make high-tech tools, you know, for scientific labs. And so, when you think about what their machines do, I mean, they're
Patrick Fruzzetti (Managing Director & Partner) 02:47.280
helping to analyze everything from cancer cells to the pharmaceuticals, to chemicals, and food and water. So, it's an essential an essential business, and I think it'll expect to continue to grow in 2026. Frankly, in the years ahead, and I think that the valuation is reasonable
Patrick Fruzzetti (Managing Director & Partner) 03:03.520
all things considered.
Frank Holland (Anchor) 03:04.600
All right. Is this part of what you're seeing as a broadening in the market? The fact that your pick it wasn't one of the Mag 7 names, it wasn't something tied to the AI build out, especially after the news that we're getting today that ByteDance plans to buy about $16 billion
Frank Holland (Anchor) 03:15.520
worth of chips from Nvidia.
Patrick Fruzzetti (Managing Director & Partner) 03:18.000
Yeah, I think that's right. I think you're going to see a broadening out in the market. Um so and and that really that's going to mean there's going to be rotation. So there there there may be some rotation out of those Mag 7 names um where those, you know, could underperform
Patrick Fruzzetti (Managing Director & Partner) 03:30.040
form relative, you know, to other sectors in the market. Like I said, I think the healthcare space is certainly right for that in the next year.