Relative weakness makes some REITs more attractive, says Fairlead's Katie Stockton
2025-12-30_20-03 • 2m 41s
? (?)
00:00.000
But
your
next
cast
says
that
relative
weakness
has
made
some
rets
attractive
candidates
at
least
to
her
and
there
is
one
in
particular
she
has
her
eye
on.
That
is
our
friend
Katie
Stockton,
founder
and
managing
partner
of
Fairlead
Strategies.
Someone
that
bailed
me
out
of
fast
? (?)
00:15.960
money
a
couple
nights
ago
as
well
Katie.
So
I
do
I
do
appreciate
it.
First
off,
before
we
get
the
name
real
estate
has
stunk.
Do
you
like
the
whole
group
or
is
it
really
just
that
one
name
we're
about
to
talk
about?
Katie Stockton (Founder & Managing Partner)
00:28.320
You
know
the
whole
group
in
a
way
if
you're
if
you're
interested
in
turnarounds,
then
we
can
certainly
find
a
lot
of
those
in
the
REIT
sector.
Although
they
don't
all
look
the
same,
of
course.
If
you
look
at
Welltower
as
one
example,
ticker
is
WELL.
That's
been
a
big
winner
Katie Stockton (Founder & Managing Partner)
00:43.440
within
the
REIT
sector.
It's
like
the
biggest
component
of
the
sector
right
now,
but
the
sector
as
a
whole
is
only
about
2%
of
the
S&P
500
in
terms
of
market
cap.
So
it's
pretty
wild
when
you
get
this
very
small
sector,
it's
been
underperforming.
And
in
a
way,
it's
intriguing
if
Katie Stockton (Founder & Managing Partner)
01:00.400
you
think
that
the
leadership
of
the
market,
so
technology
or
even
a
well
tower
type
of
chart
is
more
likely
to
correct,
which
is
what
we
think,
then
you
might
start
stifling
around
among
these
turnaround
plays.
? (?)
01:12.920
And
one
of
those
is
really
not
a
turnaround,
I
guess,
Avalon
Bay.
Avalon
Bay,
it
feels
like
when
you
live
on
the
East
Coast
that
they're
putting
up
apartment
complexes
pretty
much
everywhere,
at
least
in
New
Jersey.
It's
a
name
you
like.
You're
known
of
course
for
looking
more
? (?)
01:28.280
at
the
technicals.
What
is
the
chart
on
AVB
look
like.
Katie Stockton (Founder & Managing Partner)
01:32.320
Yeah,
I
see
them
around
too,
but
we
we've
seen
it
also
from
the
stock
a
cyclical
downtrend
despite
the
activity.
So
that
downtrend
finally
is
showing
signs
of
downs
at
exhaustion
on
a
long-term
basis
and
then
also
intermediate
term
momentum's
improving.
If
you
go
way,
way
back
Katie Stockton (Founder & Managing Partner)
01:49.680
and
zoom
out
on
Avalon
base
chart
on
a
monthly
bar,
there's
an
oversold
condition
for
the
monthly
stochastics
and
that's
being
enhanced
by
the
de
Mark
indicators.
De
Mark
indicators
have
been
pretty
good
in
inflection
indicators
for
Avalon
Bay
historically.
So
that's
intriguing
Katie Stockton (Founder & Managing Partner)
02:05.920
from
a
long-term
perspective
after
this
cyclical
down
move.
But
then
also
you
add
on
that
improved
relative
performance
that
improved
weekly
MACD
showing
better
momentum
this
really
just
the
past
month
or
so.
And
now
we
have
a
minor
breakout
above
some
former
resistance,
which
Katie Stockton (Founder & Managing Partner)
02:23.360
was
right
around
183.
And
you
know,
collectively,
it
does
suggest
that
we
could
see
a
much
better
year
for
Avalon
Bay.
Many
of
its
peers
have
a
similar
setup
at
Mid-America,
which
is
MAA,
Essex
Essex
Properties,
which
is
ESS.
We
have
a
lot
of
names
that
we
could
highlight
to
Katie Stockton (Founder & Managing Partner)
02:39.680
that
end.
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