After Buffett: Greg Abel’s Berkshire test, says R360’s Barbara Goodstein - part 1/2
2025-12-29_12-14 • 5m 50s
? (?)
00:00.000
All
right,
I
was
looking
at
the
chart.
You
look
at
this
chart,
Berkshire
has
gained
about
6
million
percent
since
Warren
Buffett
took
over.
Just
an
astronomical
move
higher
just
for
context,
the
S&P's
up
about
46,000%.
So
incredible
gains.
Does
this
company
Does
it
lose
? (?)
00:14.760
something
without
the
aura
of
Warren
Buffett
in
charge?
Even
though
he's
still
the
executive
chairman,
does
the
stocks
attractiveness
change
for
you,
your
members,
and
just
how
you're
looking
at
it?
Barbara Goodstein (Managing Partner)
00:23.880
No,
the
attractiveness
doesn't
change.
We
are
strong
into
Berkshire
Hathaway
the
way
we've
always
respected
their
moves
and
there's
a
lot
of
opportunity
here
now.
We're
calling
this
a
succession
discount.
So
we
think
that
stock
is
trading
below
what
it
will
become
because
Barbara Goodstein (Managing Partner)
00:38.080
everybody's
waiting
to
see
how
Greg
Abbott
performs.
And
there
will
be
a
number
of
checkpoints
along
the
way,
but
this
is
basically
what
our
members
do.
They
plan
for
succession.
So
they're
entrepreneurs
who
hand
over
their
businesses
just
like
what
Warren
Buffett's
doing.
So
Barbara Goodstein (Managing Partner)
00:52.800
we're
watching
this
with
great
excitement
because
we
think
it's
going
to
be
a
big
opportunity.
All
? (?)
00:57.640
right.
So
you're
seeing
an
opportunity.
There's
an
opportunity
that
you're
looking
at
in
particular,
the
cash
pile
they
have,
$382
billion.
But
you're
this
is
one
of
the
benchmarks
I
think
you're
talking
about.
You
want
to
see
him
make
some
investments,
but
you
want
to
see
the
? (?)
01:08.640
return
over
the
risk-free
rate
of
about
4%
or
so.
So,
what
areas
would
you
like
to
see
invest?
Where
do
you
see
the
potential
to
get
that
that
gain
above
the
risk-free
rate?
Barbara Goodstein (Managing Partner)
01:17.760
Well,
there's
an
opportunity
on
railroads
and
we've
talked
about
that
before.
We
think
he
might
be
able
to
create
a
conglomerate
on
the
railroad
side,
but
it's
more
watching
Greg
Abel's
moves.
Is
Greg
Abel
going
to
invest
significantly
in
his
own
business.
That's
the
sign
of
a
Barbara Goodstein (Managing Partner)
01:32.440
true
entrepreneur.
That's
what
our
members
are
constantly
doing.
They
invest
in
themselves.
They
invest
in
the
businesses
they
know.
So,
we're
going
to
look
for
a
number
of
different
checkpoints
and
yes,
he's
going
to
have
He's
got
a
lot
of
cash
on
hand
now.
They've
been
sitting
Barbara Goodstein (Managing Partner)
01:44.840
on
it
for
a
while
and
we
think
they're
sitting
on
it
so
he
can
make
a
big
move
in
2026.
All
right.
? (?)
01:49.160
Possibly
in
the
energy
space.
I
know
his
his
histories
in
the
energy
space.
Do
you
think
of
moving
the
energy
space
as
top
priority?
Is
it
transportation?
Is
it
insurance?
I
mean,
if
you
had
to
kind
of
use
your
crystal
ball,
which
I
know
you're
don't
really
have.
Uh,
but
if
you
? (?)
02:01.360
had
to
use
your
crystal
ball,
where
do
you
see
that
first
move
coming?
Barbara Goodstein (Managing Partner)
02:03.960
Well,
possibly
energy
or
industrials.
They're
also
big
into
defense
and
we
think
energy
and
defense
are
two
sectors
that
are
going
to
play
very
well
over
the
next
over
the
next
year
or
two.
So,
Berkshire
Hathaway
is
well
positioned.
They've
always
been
looking
at
the
trends
and
Barbara Goodstein (Managing Partner)
02:18.400
we
think
that
those
are
the
two
sectors
that
have
lots
of
upside.
? (?)
02:21.720
Uh,
one
story
that
we're
following
this
morning
is
SoftBank
buying
a
basically
a
PE
firm
for
for
data
centers
and
things
like
that.
Warren
Buffett
is
famous
for
saying
he
doesn't
really
invest
in
things
things
that
he
doesn't
understand.
Do
you
think
Greg
Abel
has
a
different
? (?)
02:32.960
understanding
of
investments,
tech,
and
things
like
that?
Will
that
change
some
of
the
investments
of
this
company?
Barbara Goodstein (Managing Partner)
02:38.040
Well,
he
is
an
operator
and
we've
known
that
for
a
while.
And
I
think
Warren
Buffett
has
a
very
well
thought
out
succession
plan.
And
as
I
said,
that's
what
we
are
very
focused
on
doing.
Succession
for
entrepreneurs
is
a
practice
of
ours.
And
I
think
that
Warren
Buffett
knows
Barbara Goodstein (Managing Partner)
02:52.960
that
Greg
Abel
has
the
background
and
the
operating
skills
to
make
a
good
selection.
So,
whether
it
So,
here's
an
asset
class
that
I
don't
think
has
really
any
exposure
to
Bitcoin.
You
and
I
were
actually
talking,
? (?)
03:04.600
your
members
are
really
bullish
on
Bitcoin.
Scarcity,
they're
they're
seeing
this
as
a
viable
dip.
Would
you
like
to
see
Berkshire
Hathaway
dip
its
toes
in
some
things
that
are
well
outside
the
box
of
it
historically
like
a
Bitcoin
or
Ethereum?
Well,
that
would
be
particularly
? (?)
03:17.520
interesting
because
Warren
Buffett
has
not
been
interested
in
Bitcoin.
So,
this
Barbara Goodstein (Managing Partner)
03:21.120
might
be
another
breakout
move
for
Greg
Abel.
But
yes,
we
are
very
bullish
on
Bitcoin
we
think
based
on
the
scarcity
of
Bitcoin
and
also
the
fact
that
ultimately
digital
currency
has
got
to
succeed
just
like
direct
response
was
ultimately
going
to
overtake
snail
mail.
So
we
Barbara Goodstein (Managing Partner)
03:44.680
think
that
ultimately
Bitcoin
is
going
to
be
a
digital
asset
is
going
to
be
successful.
So
this
might
be
Greg
Abel's
opportunity
to
prove
himself.
What
? (?)
03:53.880
about
Japan?
Lot
of
news
about
Berkshire
Hathaway
in
Japan
over
the
last
couple
years.
Do
you
expect
Greg
Abel
to
also
look
at
the
international
markets.
We've
been
doing
a
lot
of
stories
about
international
outperforming
the
US
markets,
even
though
the
US
is
having
a
fantastic
? (?)
04:05.640
year,
potentially
on
pace
for
its
first
back
to
back
to
back
20%
gain
since
the
dot
com
error.
Barbara Goodstein (Managing Partner)
04:11.120
Uh
I
think
of
course
he's
going
to
look
at
international.
Warren
Buffett
found
little
slices
in
Japan
and
that
was
a
nice
percent
of
his
portfolio
because
he
was
very
successful
in
his
picks.
But
of
course
Greg
Gable's
going
to
look
at
the
whole
world.
He's
got
an
enormous
Barbara Goodstein (Managing Partner)
04:24.640
opportunity
and
a
giant
cash
fund
sitting
at
his
feet.
So
he's
got
a
lot
of
opportunity
to
make
some
big
moves
and
that's
what
we're
going
to
be
watching
for.
Okay.
Your
? (?)
04:33.160
group,
ultra
high
net
worth
individuals.
I
think
all
of
us
we
we
want
to
invest
like
those
kind
of
people
and
kind
of
have
the
same
inside
as
they
are.
How
are
they
looking
at
this
stock
going
forward?
Um
what
are
the
benchmarks
to
buy
more
potentially?
What
are
the
benchmarks
? (?)
04:45.400
to
say
I'm
not
sure
Greg
Abel's
working
out?
One
of
the
things
you
said
is
a
strategic
allocation
over
the
next
year
or
18
months
or
so.
Um
how
important
is
that?
Like
what's
the
thing
that's
going
to
say,
"Hey,
this
is
working
or
this
is
not
working?"
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