At least two more Fed cuts likely in 2026, says Moody's Mark Zandi
December 24, 2025 • 5m 30s
Mark Zandi (Chief Economist)
00:00.644
yeah
i
mean
i
was
pretty
annoyed
by
that
CPI
i
mean
i
get
it
i
mean
the
bureau
of
labor
statistics
had
to
make
some
choices
about
what
they
were
going
to
do
for
the
month
of
october
because
there
was
no
survey
given
the
government
shutdown
so
you
know
no
matter
what
assumption
Mark Zandi (Chief Economist)
00:16.324
they
made
there
they'd
be
a
lot
of
questions
but
they
assume
no
basically
no
inflation
no
change
in
prices
for
the
you
know
vast
majority
of
goods
and
services
in
october
and
obviously
that
makes
no
sense
whatsoever
so
we
went
back
with
good
good
product
by
product
good
by
good
Mark Zandi (Chief Economist)
00:32.004
service
by
service
looked
at
what
private
sector
data
we
had
we
have
our
own
ways
of
taking
that
and
translating
that
into
what
it
means
for
CPI
calculated
CPI
based
on
that
set
of
assumptions
and
we're
right
back
to
three
percent
so
in
in
my
thinking
you
know
inflation
CPI
Mark Zandi (Chief Economist)
00:48.044
inflation
is
three
percent
which
is
you
know
obviously
well
above
the
fed
's
target
which
on
CPI
is
probably
closer
to
two
point
two
or
two
point
three
percent
so
we're
going
to
keep
track
of
this
you
know
for
at
least
for
a
year
until
we
get
to
next
october
because
the
year
Mark Zandi (Chief Economist)
01:01.324
over
year
number
is
going
to
be
biased
lowers
as
a
result
of
the
choice
that
BLS
made
here
as
well
but
i
won't
you
know
nerd
you
out
on
those
things
but
but
that
was
the
biggest
thing
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