The bulls would feel better if the 10-year fell below 4% and stayed there: Jim Cramer

Jim Cramer (Host of Mad Money) 00:00.070

very beginning of the year we were in this three part segment on my twenty five questions for twenty twenty twenty twenty five OK i came up with four big macro questions one question for each of the eleven major sectors and of course ten tech specific questions so now that

Jim Cramer (Host of Mad Money) 00:13.310

you're nearly over let's talk about the answers

Jim Cramer (Host of Mad Money) 00:16.030

first question does the yield on the ten year treasury go to four percent or five percent first or neither at the time the tenure was sitting at just over four point five percent and this is one where we got a definitive answer because the ten year went to four percent first

Jim Cramer (Host of Mad Money) 00:29.830

given so much wealth from housing to your portfolios related to the tenure we have to follow like a hawk what happened in twenty twenty five specifically the ten year broke below four percent briefly in that post liberation day wash ellis spring setting up fifty two week low of

Jim Cramer (Host of Mad Money) 00:43.750

three point eight eight more recently

Jim Cramer (Host of Mad Money) 00:46.590

out the fed started cutting short-term interest rates the tenure has touched the four percent level a couple times first in mid september then in mid october and then again in late november of course the bulls would feel better if the tenure had formed below four percent and

Jim Cramer (Host of Mad Money) 01:01.910

stayed there

Jim Cramer (Host of Mad Money) 01:03.910

but that's not the case from benchmark deal currently sitting about four point one five percent don't let anyone scare you that's fine fine for stocks and there's a lack of consensus about how much help we can realistically expect from the federal reserve next year not even the

Jim Cramer (Host of Mad Money) 01:16.110

members of the open market committee can agree on the number of rate cuts that are needed say nothing about investors or people betting in the predictions market the

Jim Cramer (Host of Mad Money) 01:24.590

second question for twenty twenty five we wanted to know whether the labor market would remain tight and here the answer seems to be it seemed to be a definitive no we went from adding over one hundred thousand jobs per month in the first few months of the year to averaging

Jim Cramer (Host of Mad Money) 01:36.550

around seventeen thousand jobs added over the course of the past six months meaning june through november that's actually kind of pathetic in june august october chocolate was actually negative and that

Jim Cramer (Host of Mad Money) 01:48.990

i'm gonna call that bad meanwhile the unemployment rates rise from four percent in january to four point six percent in november that's not good either now the silver lining here is the fact that the labor market weakness has allowed the fed remain our friend but to answer the

Jim Cramer (Host of Mad Money) 02:02.270

question from the beginning of the year no the labor market has not remained tight

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