Morgan Brennan (Closing Bell: Overtime Anchor) 00:00.110
kicking off the short holiday trading week with gains and a broad based rally everything from AI names to banks to retailers industrials getting a bump can this broadening out continue into twenty twenty six well joining us now carol schleife from bmo private wealth and bob dahl
Morgan Brennan (Closing Bell: Overtime Anchor) 00:14.590
from crossmark global investments it's great to have you both here and carol i will start this conversation with you how does this set us up for twenty twenty six
Carol Schleif (Chief Investment Officer) 00:24.110
well clearly markets seem to be indicating that there's a lot of things going on under underneath in the economy that are would bode positively and it's amazing when you think about it because you look at all the challenges that businesses face this year and it turns out they
Carol Schleif (Chief Investment Officer) 00:38.430
didn't need clarity after all in order to perform and generate earnings and revenue and have some really solid stories we do think that that broadening out continues and allows markets to continue to do well especially the growth trade going into twenty twenty six bob
Morgan Brennan (Closing Bell: Overtime Anchor) 00:54.430
i'll ask you the same question especially since you are reflecting back on your ten predictions for the market here in twenty twenty five and from what i could tell you did pretty pretty well with those predictions
Bob Doll (CEO and CIO) 01:05.820
yeah we did OK morgan could have been a little more constructive we were a little too cautious as many people were but after that twenty percent decline in the late winter early spring then we get the forty percent run up it's been an amazing year but have a bit of a roller
Bob Doll (CEO and CIO) 01:20.940
coaster look a lot of momentum heading into the new year in terms of earnings and the fed seems not to want to do anything other than stand pat and maybe lower rates again that combination always good for the market
Morgan Brennan (Closing Bell: Overtime Anchor) 01:37.390
carol i mean SP right now as it stands on track for seventeen percent gain this year that's the third straight year of double digit percentage gains so when so when you do look to twenty twenty six what powers stocks from here and are those types of gains still sustainable when
Morgan Brennan (Closing Bell: Overtime Anchor) 01:52.990
have we seen this type of trajectory in history well
Carol Schleif (Chief Investment Officer) 01:56.390
i think the first thing to level set is when you go back and you run the numbers from say the nineteen seventies forward the average bull market runs about five years so we're still pretty early on we published a couple weeks ago a chart that shows you are here relative to a lot
Carol Schleif (Chief Investment Officer) 02:10.710
of those other other gains but fundamentally there's a lot going on too because there's a lot of the most constructive portions of the one big beautiful bill passed this summer that are just coming to fruition you've got some bits of clarity around tariff policy we've got a lot
Carol Schleif (Chief Investment Officer) 02:26.950
of things going on with the consumer that should help with some of the back tax refunds and you've got deregulation and a real focus from the administration on trying to drive business forward and and remove the barriers if you will so if companies in the markets performed as
Carol Schleif (Chief Investment Officer) 02:43.190
well as they did last year with all of the uncertainties in the beginning now we've got some of that clarity and fundamental underpinnings and earnings supported where valuations went this year or they supported where stock prices went this year bob
Morgan Brennan (Closing Bell: Overtime Anchor) 02:56.870
does this rotation continue and if so where do you want to be in twenty twenty six
Bob Doll (CEO and CIO) 03:02.190
the the confusion around leadership is going to continue first it's the mag seven then we had the broadening the four ninety three last few weeks the mag seven are coming on again so i think it's going to be alternating back and forth and confusing for the direction of the
Bob Doll (CEO and CIO) 03:17.790
market watch earnings watch the fed the fed stands pat and earnings continue to advance hard to knock this market off however i'd point out on the other side of my mouth stocks have only gone up four times in a row in a double digit percentage once in the last hundred years
Bob Doll (CEO and CIO) 03:34.950
let's hope we can repeat that