? (Correspondent) 00:00.110
joining us now is charles schwab 's chief investment strategist liz ann saunders liz ann great to see you we're finishing up a third straight you know very rewarding year for US equity investors what's your kind of headline message to them in terms of what ought to be expected
? (Correspondent) 00:15.710
in twenty twenty six and what are the key themes they should focus on
Liz Ann Sonders (Chief Investment Strategist) 00:19.430
well well not that history ever serves as a as a perfect guide i love warren buffett 's quote about if if it market you know predicting market returns was just about history then librarians would be the the richest people in the in the world but there if you do look back at
Liz Ann Sonders (Chief Investment Strategist) 00:36.270
three strong or up years in a row more often than not they're followed by another decent year i think it's going to be a choppier pattern though but what i think will characterize twenty twenty six more than just maybe up or down is pretty swift rotations under the surface and
Liz Ann Sonders (Chief Investment Strategist) 00:54.430
that's something that really started to bubble up over the past couple of months and you've seen leadership shifts are pretty remarkable and i think that's likely to continue i think it's it sets the stage for a more level playing field for active relative to passive and for
Liz Ann Sonders (Chief Investment Strategist) 01:10.950
equal weight relative to cap weight and for opportunities down the cap spectrum but not in a linear fashion i think in fits and starts
? (Correspondent) 01:19.510
yeah i guess the sort of leadership shifts you refer to in the last couple of months is probably you know somewhat away from the mega cap secular growth names and toward more cyclicals right so financials and and other parts of consumer cyclicals and things like that is that a
? (Correspondent) 01:33.470
trend that we should extrapolate into next year or do you think it's just going to be kind of continually passing the baton
Liz Ann Sonders (Chief Investment Strategist) 01:40.670
i do think that there are probably legs to some of the recent leadership areas like healthcare maybe in financials but what's also interesting is that even within the broader technology space and i'm not just speaking specifically about the tech sector but the broader tech space
Liz Ann Sonders (Chief Investment Strategist) 01:57.910
sometimes our stocks fall into communication services you're seeing a broadening out there too and not necessarily to the kind of newbies on the block you know you've got the western digital sandisk and seagate in the top five best performers year to date so you're you're seeing
Liz Ann Sonders (Chief Investment Strategist) 02:14.950
more dispersion within sectors and even within cohorts within AI related cohorts you know nvidia is still the number one contributor to S and P returns but that's a function of the multiplier of its size it's actually ranked i think eighty third in terms of price performance on
Liz Ann Sonders (Chief Investment Strategist) 02:35.790
a year to date basis so i think that's another thing that's really important for investors to understand is not to conflate contribution to cap weighted returns versus price performance i think from a price performance standpoint there's a growing kind of pool of opportunities
? (Correspondent) 02:55.030
lizanne talking about health care it was hard not to notice the president call insurance companies fat cats on friday night and i wonder in these spaces where margins have been robust or at least pricing has been robust going into midterms is there a reason to be cautious about
? (Correspondent) 03:11.830
some of the sectors going in at least the first half of next year well
Liz Ann Sonders (Chief Investment Strategist) 03:15.790
i i think that there is the political angle to thinking about the market from a sector from an industry standpoint whether it's just rhetoric coming from the frustration or actually proposed policy changes i think that is one of the factors that will be a volatility driver i
Liz Ann Sonders (Chief Investment Strategist) 03:32.590
don't expect to see a significantly volatile year in the aggregate and in a linear fashion but i think we're going to have bouts of volatility some driven by the traditional fundamentals of earnings season and you you know beat or miss on top line or bottom line i think there's
Liz Ann Sonders (Chief Investment Strategist) 03:48.550
going to be a lot of focus on profit margins and and actual productivity statistics but that political angle they're taking stakes in companies which seems to be part of the mission continued mission here or sort of bashing companies or industries you can't not have that as a
Liz Ann Sonders (Chief Investment Strategist) 04:05.990
component of the volatility driver equation