Doug Peta (Chief US Investment Strategist) 00:00.440
i think governor waller has been right on the money in terms of suggesting to his fellow fomc members that they look through the one off impact of inflation from tariffs and that they focus more on the full employment mandate because i do think the full employment mandate is a
Doug Peta (Chief US Investment Strategist) 00:18.520
threat because just as you suggested yes i do believe the labor market could tip the overall economy into contraction could spell the end of the expansion we have incredibly concentrated job growth as much as we talk about the equity market being led by just a handful of issues
Doug Peta (Chief US Investment Strategist) 00:41.530
when we talk about how narrow the breadth is in the equity market the job creation so far this year it has been all about health care and social assistance that has been the really the only game in town year to date and in particular the only game in town since payrolls growth
Doug Peta (Chief US Investment Strategist) 01:01.100
slowed to an anemic pace beginning in may and unfortunately those jobs don't pay real well the only other sector that has contributed since may has been leisure and hospitality which also doesn't pay well so what we have is all the job creation is in two spaces that don't