? (?) 00:00.150
do you think about vivec coding
Yann LeCun (Chief AI Scientist) 00:03.310
i mean it's cool it makes is going to cause a funny kind of thing where a lot of the code that will be written will be used only once because it's going to become so cheap to write code right you're going to ask your kind of AI assistant like you know produced this graph or like
Yann LeCun (Chief AI Scientist) 00:24.190
you know this research blah blah blah he's going to write a little piece of code to do this or maybe it's an applet that you need to play with for you know a little simulator and you can use it once and throw it away because so cheap to produce right so the idea that we're not
Yann LeCun (Chief AI Scientist) 00:38.710
going to need programmers anymore is false we're going to the cost of generating software you know has been going down continuously for decades and it's that's just the next step of the cars going down but it doesn't mean computers will be less useful they're going to be more
Yann LeCun (Chief AI Scientist) 00:57.030
useful
? (?) 01:00.930
OK one more question so what do you think about the connection between neuroscience and machine learning there are some ideas a lot of time that AI borrows from neuroscience and the other way right predictive coding for example do you think that it's useful to use ideas from but
Yann LeCun (Chief AI Scientist) 01:22.030
there's a lot of inspiration you can get from neuroscience from biology in general but neuroscience in particular i certainly was very influenced by classic work in neuroscience like you know hubble and riesel 's work on the architecture of the visual cortex is basically what
Yann LeCun (Chief AI Scientist) 01:38.190
led to convolutional nets right and you know i wasn't the first one to use those ideas in in artificial neural nets right there were people in the sixties trying to do this there were you know people in the eighties building locally connected networks with multiple layers they
Yann LeCun (Chief AI Scientist) 01:52.470
didn't have ways to train them with backdrop you know there was the the cognitron the neo cognitron from fukushima which had a lot of the ingredients just not proper learning algorithm and there was another kind of aspect of the cognitron which is that it was really meant to be
Yann LeCun (Chief AI Scientist) 02:10.350
a model of the visual cortex so it tried to reproduce every quirks of biology for example the fact that in the brain you don't have positive and negative weights you have positive and negative neurons so all the neurons all the synapses coming out of an inhibitor neurons neurons
Yann LeCun (Chief AI Scientist) 02:32.270
have negative weights OK and all the synapses coming out of non inhibitory neurons have positive weights so fukushima implemented this in his model right he implemented the fact that you know what neurons spike so we didn't have a spiking neuron model but but you cannot have a
Yann LeCun (Chief AI Scientist) 02:53.830
negative number of spikes and so so his function was basically rectification like a rail you except it had a saturation and then he knew from you know various works that there was some sort of normalization and he had to use this because otherwise there was no back props of the
Yann LeCun (Chief AI Scientist) 03:12.080
activation in this network would go haywire so we had to do like division normalization that turns out to actually be correspond to some theoretical models of the visual cortex that some of our colleagues at the center for neuroscience said NYU have been pushing like david heger
Yann LeCun (Chief AI Scientist) 03:29.230
and people like that so yeah i mean i think neuroscience is very a source of inspiration you know more more recently the sort of macro architecture of the brain in terms of you know perhaps the world model and planning and things like this like how how is that reproduced like
Yann LeCun (Chief AI Scientist) 03:49.550
why do we have a separate module in the brain for for for factual memory the hippocampus right and we see this now in certain neural net architectures that there is like a separate memory module right maybe that's a good idea i think we're going to have i think what's going to
Yann LeCun (Chief AI Scientist) 04:09.310
happen is that we're going to come up with sort of new AI neural net architectures deep learning architectures and a posterior you will discover that the characteristic that we implemented in them actually exist in the brain and in fact that's a lot of what's happening now in
Yann LeCun (Chief AI Scientist) 04:26.870
neuroscience which is that there is a lot of feedback now from AI to neuroscience where the best models of human perception are basically conventional nets today
? (?) 04:38.600
yeah OK
? (?) 04:41.440
do you have anything else that you want to add to say to the audience whatever
Yann LeCun (Chief AI Scientist) 04:47.200
you want i think we covered a lot of grounds i think you you know you want to be careful who you listen to so don't listen to AI scientists talking about economics OK so when some AI person or even a business person tells you AI is going to put everybody out of work talk to an
Yann LeCun (Chief AI Scientist) 05:11.030
economist basically none of them is saying anything anywhere close to this OK and you know the effect of technological revolutions on the labor market is something that a few people have devoted their career on doing none of them is predicting massive unemployment none of them
Yann LeCun (Chief AI Scientist) 05:34.650
is predicting that radiologists are going to be all unemployed you know et cetera right also realize that actually fielding practical applications of AI so that there are sufficiently reliable and everything is super difficult and it's very expensive and in previous waves of
Yann LeCun (Chief AI Scientist) 05:53.400
interest AI the techniques that people have put a big hope in turned out to be overly unwieldy and expensive except for a few applications so there was a big wave of interest in expert systems back in the nineteen eighties japan started a huge project called the fifth generation
Yann LeCun (Chief AI Scientist) 06:18.760
computer project which was like computers with CPU 's that were going to run lists and you know inference engines and stuff right and the hottest job in the late eighties was going to be knowledge engineer you were going to sit next to an expert and then the knowledge of the
Yann LeCun (Chief AI Scientist) 06:35.790
expert into rules and facts right and then the computer would be able to basically do what the expert was this was manual behavior clothing OK uh and it kind of worked but only for a few domains where where economically it made sense and it was doable at the level of reliability
Yann LeCun (Chief AI Scientist) 06:53.110
that was good enough but it was not a pass towards kind of human level intelligence the idea somehow like the delusion that people today have that the current AI mainstream you know fashion is going to take us to human intelligence has happened already three times during my
Yann LeCun (Chief AI Scientist) 07:16.990
career and probably five or six times before right you should you should see what people are saying about the perceptron right the new york times article people were saying oh we're going to have like super intelligent machines within ten years marvin minsky in the sixties says
Yann LeCun (Chief AI Scientist) 07:29.470
oh within ten years the best chess player in the world would be a computer it took a bit longer than that and you know and you know this you know this happened over and over again in nineteen fifty six or something when newell and simon produced the the general problem solver
Yann LeCun (Chief AI Scientist) 07:49.360
very modestly called the general problem solver OK what they what they thought was really cool they say OK the way we think is very simple we pose a problem there is a number of different solutions to that problem different proposals for solution a space of potential solutions
Yann LeCun (Chief AI Scientist) 08:07.880
like you know you do like traveling salesman right there was a number of you know factorial you know N factorial paths possible paths you just have to look for the one that is the best right and they say like every problem can be formulated this way essentially for a search for
Yann LeCun (Chief AI Scientist) 08:24.360
the best solution if you can formulate the problem as an objective by writing a program that checks whether it's a good solution or not or gives a rating to it and then you have a search algorithm that search through the space of possible solution for one that optimizes that
Yann LeCun (Chief AI Scientist) 08:43.070
score that you saw the AI OK now what they didn't know at the time is order complexity theory that basically every problem that is interesting is exponential or AP complete or whatever right and so oh we have to use heuristic programming you know kind of come up with heuristics
Yann LeCun (Chief AI Scientist) 08:59.510
for every new problem and basically you know there are general problem solver was not that general so like this idea somehow that the latest idea is going to take you to you know AGI or whatever you want to call it is very dangerous and a lot of very smart people fell into that
Yann LeCun (Chief AI Scientist) 09:18.110
trap many times over the last seven decades do